Fox News Poll: Voters split on congressional election

Are elections or senate better positioned to address voter concerns in this year’s congress” target=”_blank”>congressional<

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They believe Democrats can better handle climate change (+22 points), racism (+20), health care (+16), bringing the country together (+9), coronavirus (+9) and education (+7).

Republicans are preferred on national security (+16 points), border security (+16), crime (+15), the economy (+15), immigration (+15), the federal deficit (+13) and taxes (+11). 

There is no clear party advantage on protecting American democracy (Democrats +2). 

SCHUMER, DEMS ACCEPT FILIBUSTER FLOOR FAILURE TO FIGHT ‘THE GOOD FIGHT’ AHEAD OF MIDTERMS

That all leads to a split matchup: By a one-point margin, voters favor the Republican candidate in their congressional district over the Democratic candidate (44-43%). Last month, Republicans were favored by four points. 

“This is good news for Republican prospects for winning the majority,” says Daron Shaw, a Republican pollster who conducts Fox News surveys with Chris Anderson, his Democratic counterpart. “Political science tells us the Democrats need a substantial lead in the national vote to take the House, maybe 4-7 points, to make up for gerrymandering and vote concentrations.”

Nine in 10 Democrats and Republicans favor their party’s candidate. For independents, more back the Republican (30%) than the Democrat (20%) – but the largest number, 46%, are undecided.

Shaw sees a two-fold task for joe-biden” target=”_blank”>President Biden<

There have been major shifts in which party has the advantage on certain issues – immigration, taxes and the economy, in particular. Since 2014, voting” target=”_blank”>voters<

When asked in a press conference Wednesday about election integrity for the upcoming midterms, Biden appeared to cast doubt on the results.

“I’m not saying it’s going to be legit,” the president said. The White House later clarified that Biden didn’t intend to cast doubt, but many voters are apprehensive.

While 60% generally have faith in the country’s election system, only 24% have “a great deal” of confidence. Forty-eight percent think the process of counting and certifying the vote needs at least major changes, if not a complete overhaul. That’s a touch higher than the 43% favoring federal voting rights legislation (that includes 60% of Democrats and 29% of Republicans).

Democrats are 36 points more likely than Republicans to have confidence in the system, while Republicans are 14 points more likely than Democrats to want major changes/a complete overhaul. 

One change voters reject, by 71-26%, is allowing noncitizens to vote in their local community’s municipal elections, a move adopted earlier this month in new-york-city” target=”_blank”>New York City< in early January seek to ban members of Congress from trading stocks. There’s widespread support for that, as 72% of Democrats and 69% of Republicans favor the ban.

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Conducted Jan. 16-19, 2022, under the joint direction of Beacon Research (D) and Shaw & Company Research (R), this Fox News Poll includes interviews with 1,001 registered voters nationwide who were randomly selected from a national voter file and spoke with live interviewers on both landlines and cellphones. The total sample has a margin of sampling error of plus or minus three percentage points. 

Fox News’ Victoria Balara contributed to this report.

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